NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018 odds and picks: Advanced model locks in surprising predictions for GoBowling at The Glen

After opening at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018, which runs Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It’s the second road course race of the season and Denny Hamlin, recorded at 10-1 NASCAR at Watkins Glen chances, won the pole Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road course wins, including two at Watkins Glen, but his last win at The Glen has been back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling in The Glen last year and can be recorded at 4-1 odds. Prior to making any 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen choices, you want to see what SportsLine’s innovative computer version has to say.

The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has an established history in multiple sports. In addition, it forces McClure’s DFS projections, that have led him to more than $1 million in career winnings.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big racing events in this way are in his blood, and his version has been crushing its 2018 NASCAR picks.

The model has made several huge calls this season, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 also as Harvick’s win at the KC Masterpiece 400. It also pinpointed five of the top 10 in Bristol and a couple of the top five in Daytona, just to mention a few. Anyone following its picks this year is way, way up.

Now that the 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen area is locked, SportsLine simulated the occasion 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

One sudden pick from the version for GoBowling in The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, obtaining the third-best NASCAR at Watkins Glen chances to triumph at 6-1, doesn’t sniff the best 10. He’s a driver to avoid on Sunday despite his leading beginning position of third.

Elliott is still in search of the initial career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series triumph. He has cracked the top 10 in four of his last seven starts, but was just 19th at Chicago and 34th at Daytona last month. Last year at Watkins Glen, Elliott again started close to the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest speed (124.520 miles ) at the last clinics for GoBowling in The Glen 2018, but the model says he’s a popular to fade.

Another shocker: Truex Jr., obtaining the second-best odds at 4-1, doesn’t even finish in the top five.

He’s had plenty of success on street tracks, such as winning final year. But he is a risky choice at these odds because he’s got an average finish position of 12th in Watkins Glen in his career and has finished 10th or worse in three of the past six races here. There are better values out there in this Go Bowling at The Glen field.

Instead, the model is targeting two huge underdogs with odds longer than 30-1 who are poised to make a serious run in the checkered flag, including a monster long shot. Anyone who bets on these underdogs could hit it rich.

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